United States Economy Still Weak, but More Feel Secure

The following is an excerpt from an article in:


The New York Times
Friday, September 28, 2012

United States Economy Still Weak, but More Feel Secure

By ANNIE LOWREY

Both economists and the Romney campaign are puzzling over the same paradox: The recovery has flagged and yet the country’s mood appears to be improving.

Despite months of disappointing-to-dismal economic reports — capped by a Commerce Department release Thursday showing the economy had expanded at an annual pace of just 1.3 percent in the second quarter, barely above stall speed — a closely watched measure of consumer confidence surged to its highest level since February.

Economic experts pointed to several trends to explain how Americans were feeling better about the economy even though growth in jobs and the overall economy had weakened. First, the election is having a strong effect on economic perceptions. Second, though the recovery is weak, it has persisted, with employment and wages rising and some households feeling more secure.

Though the unemployment rate has been stuck between 8.1 and 8.3 percent all year, employers have continued to add workers to their payrolls. Wages and consumer spending have strengthened.

The housing sector’s nascent recovery foretells rising employment in the construction, real estate and mortgage finance sectors, as well as rising household wealth.

“There is a recovery. There are jobs. There is more income. There is some improvement,” said Lawrence Mishel, a labor market expert at and president of the liberal Economic Policy Institute. “But the improvement is obviously disappointing,” he added, a sentiment that many economists echoed.

Moreover, Labor Department data released on Thursday suggested that job growth in the 12 months through March 2012 might have been significantly stronger than government economists first expected.

In a standard revision of its jobs numbers, the department said that the economy added nearly 400,000 more jobs during that period than originally thought.

For more, visit www.nytimes.com.